Smoke Impact Forecast #3 revision 01 Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Center Coast CAL
Fire IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for July 31st, 2016 Prepared by: Gary M. Curcio
Time: 12:35 PM Air Resource Advisor
Smoke Synopsis:
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Yesterday: The fire size increased by 4,435 acres. At the day’s end all
stations recorded a
Good-AQI level. The lone exception was Hollister
(Moderate-AQI). Many stations did experience degraded air quality. This
occurred for a time between 7 AM - 5 PM. Gilory recorded the poorest AQ at
7AM.
Today: Smoke impact will be somewhat similar
to yesterdays. However, it is projected to experience degrading AQ at Carmel
River School, Carmel Valley and Gonzales locations. The planned burnout has
been delayed. It is now expected to take place on Monday. For the nearby
coast and valleys, the marine layer still persists. Heaviest smoke will be in
the Coastal Range with some smoke making its way into Carmel & Salinas
Valleys. Carmel River School was experiencing an “Unhealthy” level as early
as 1 AM. As we progress through the day AQ will improve and then decline late
afternoon. There will still be upper level drift smoke impacting San Joaquin Valley and Sierra
foothills. The influence of the South/Southwest airflow remains. It is
expected to affect northern communities (Carmel River, Carmel Valley,
Salinas, Hollister & Gilroy).
Tomorrow: Expect elevated smoke levels
from the Soberanes Burnout operation. This will continued into the next day.
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Air Quality Outlook:
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Location
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Yesterday
July 30th
Observed
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Today
July 31st
Forecasted
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Tomorrow
August 1st
Forecasted
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Comments: AQ is expected to degrade late afternoon and
into the night.
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Santa Cruz
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Gilory
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Good
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Good
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Moderate
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Hollister
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Salinas
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Good
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Good
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Moderate
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Toro Park
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Good
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Unhealthy SG
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Monterey
ARB
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Good
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Good
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Unhealthy SG
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Carmel
River Sch
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Good
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Unhealthy SG
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Unhealthy SG
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Smoke
levels are “Unhealthy” at 5 AM (7/31/16)
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Carmel
Valley
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Good
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Gonzales
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Good
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Moderate
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Unhealthy SG
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Soledad
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Good
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Good
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Moderate
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Greenfield
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Good
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Good
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Moderate
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King City
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Good
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Good
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Moderate
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Disclaimer: Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive
individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children,
pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to
smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or
health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air
Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.
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AQI
Category
(PM2.5 µg/m3) |
Potential
Health Impacts
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Actions to
Protect Yourself
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Good
(0-12)
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Little or no health risk
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None
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Moderate
(13-35)
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Air
quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a
small number of sensitive people.
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Unusually
sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
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Unhealthy
for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
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Members
of sensitive groups may experience health effects. The general public is not likely to be
affected.
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People
with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged
or heavy outdoor exertion. Everyone
else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
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Unhealthy
(56-150)
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Everyone
may begin to experience more serious health effects.
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The
following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with
heart or lung disease, children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or
heavy exertion.
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Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
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Triggers a health alert, everyone may
experience more serious health effects
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Everyone should avoid any outdoor
exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children
should remain indoors.
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Hazardous (>250)
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The entire population is even more
likely to be affected by serious health effects.
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The following groups should remain
indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease;
children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy
exertion
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Learn more at:
c) California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/
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