Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Tuesday, August 9, 2016 - #Soberanes Fire Smoke Impact Forecast #12

Smoke Impact Forecast #12                                                                            Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Central Coast                                                                               CAL FIRE IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for August 9, 2016                                                                        Prepared by:  Gary M. Curcio/Steve Fraidenburg
Time: 7:30 AM                                                                                                                          ARA/ARA(t)

Smoke Synopsis:

Yesterday: The Air Quality (AQ) continued to be impaired due to burnout operations and fire growth. Fire growth was estimated at 6,924 acres. At days end Big Sur was the most severely impacted area. Carmel Valley continued to have impacts that made AQ unhealthy. The Salinas Valley communities continued to have degraded AQ.
Today: Smoke impact is anticipated to be moderate for Carmel and northern communities. Early morning smoke is being experienced by some, particularly Carmel Valley and Salinas Valley. This has been factored into the AQ Table. Big Sur is expected to be Very Unhealthy all day.  Carmel Valley is expected to be unhealthy. Communities of Gonzales and Soledad may have some AQ improvement in the afternoon. Greenfield and King City will experience variable AQ throughout the day. Lockwood area AQ is expected to become unhealthy for sensitive groups. Smoke is expected to have greater impact to the San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills. The northern San Luis Obispo County, especially coastal areas, are being affected by smoke. Changes to AQ today are results of continued burning, forecasted weather, and dispersion models.
Tomorrow: With warmer and drier weather conditions forecasted fire growth and interior burning, smoke production is expected to increase and AQ degrade. This will be most acute at Big Sur.

Air Quality Outlook:

Location
Yesterday
August 8th
Observed
Today
August 9th   
Forecasted
Tomorrow
August 10th   
Forecasted
Comments: Today- Times of impaired air quality are projected below. During these periods Air Quality can be variable.

Santa Cruz
Good
 Good
Good


Gilroy
Good
 Good
Moderate


Hollister
Good
 Good
Moderate


Salinas
Good
Good
Moderate


Toro Park
Good
Good
Moderate


Monterey ARB
Good
Good
Moderate


Carmel River Sch
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Smoke in morning(6am-8am), improving mid-morning

Carmel Valley
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Smoke midnight to 10am, then improving

Gonzales
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Morning smoke, clearing in the afternoon

Soledad
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Smoke in the morning, improving in afternoon

Greenfield
     Moderate
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Smoke through the day and night

King City
Moderate
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Smoke through the day and night

SJ Baut
Moderate
Good
Moderate


Fort Ord
Moderate
Good
Moderate


Big Sur
Very Unhealthy
Very Unhealthy
Hazardous
Smoke through the day and night

Pacific Grove
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Air quality variable throughout the day

Lockwood
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

Disclaimer:  Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children, pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.


*See Air Quality Index Table on next page



AQI Category
(PM2.5 Āµg/m3)
Potential Health Impacts
Actions to Protect Yourself

Good (0-12)
Little or no health risk
None

Moderate (13-35)
Air quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a small number of sensitive people.
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.

Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
Members of sensitive groups may experience health effects.  The general public is not likely to be affected.
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.

Unhealthy (56-150)

Everyone may begin to experience more serious health effects.
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.

Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
Triggers a health alert, everyone may experience more serious health effects
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.

Hazardous (>250)
The entire population is even more likely to be affected by serious health effects.
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Learn more at:
a)        California Air District: Monterey Bay Unified  http://mbard.org/air-quality/
b)        Soberanes Fire Information: Inciweb  http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4888/
c)        California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/

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