Smoke Impact Forecast #7 Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Central Coast CAL
Fire IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for August 4, 2016 Prepared by: Gary M. Curcio/Steve Fraidenburg
Time: 8:00 AM ARA/ARA(t)
Smoke Synopsis:
Yesterday: The Air Quality (AQ) continues
to be impaired as smoke emissions from burnout operations has progressed. The
acres contributing to the fire emissions increased by 5,804. At the day’s end Carmel Valley was the most severely
impacted station. The geographic position of the Valley in relation to the
fire and natural diurnal surface wind flow facilitate this impact. The
Salinas Valley communities continue to have impacted AQ.
Today: Smoke impact is anticipated to
be similar for Carmel and northern communities. Burnout operations will continue. This
operation proceeded well and may be completed today. Increased smoke
production has been factored into the AQ Table. Carmel Valley is expected to
be Unhealthy. Big Sur is expected to be Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. Smoke
will continue impacting San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills. 4 monitor
sites have been added at San Juan Bautista, Fort Ord, Big Sur, and Pacific
Grove. Weather conditions are changing and favorable improvement to AQ is
expected.
Tomorrow: Expect improved AQ as the
marine influence continues to bring cooler temperatures and higher relative
humidity may reduce the ability for fuels to burn.
|
Air Quality Outlook:
Location
|
Yesterday
August 3rd
Observed
|
Today
August 4th
Forecasted
|
Tomorrow
August 5th
Forecasted
|
Comments: Today - Times of
impaired air quality are projected below. During these periods Air Quality can
be variable.
|
Santa Cruz
|
Good
|
Good
|
Good
|
|
Gilory
|
Good
|
Good
|
Good
|
|
Hollister
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Good
|
|
Salinas
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke all
day but improving AQ in the afternoon
|
Toro Park
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke all
day but improving AQ in the afternoon
|
Monterey
ARB
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke all
day but improving AQ in the afternoon
|
Carmel
River Sch
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Good
|
|
Carmel
Valley
|
Unhealthy
|
Unhealthy
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Smoke
persists through the day and evening
|
Gonzales
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke increasing
through the day
|
Soledad
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Smoke
increasing through the day
|
Greenfield
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Smoke
increasing through the day
|
King City
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Smoke
increasing through the day
|
SJ Baut
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Good
|
|
Fort Ord
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke all
day but improving AQ in the afternoon
|
Big Sur
|
Moderate
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Expect
smoke all day with varying air quality
|
Pacific Grove
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke all
day but improving AQ in the afternoon
|
Disclaimer: Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive
individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children,
pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to
smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or
health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air
Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.
|
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SEE AQI TABLE ON NEXT PAGE
|
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AQI
Category
(PM2.5 µg/m3) |
Potential Health
Impacts
|
Actions to
Protect Yourself
|
Good
(0-12)
|
Little or no health risk
|
None
|
Moderate
(13-35)
|
Air
quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a
small number of sensitive people.
|
Unusually
sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor
exertion.
|
Unhealthy
for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
|
Members
of sensitive groups may experience health effects. The general public is not likely to be
affected.
|
People
with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged
or heavy outdoor exertion. Everyone
else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
|
Unhealthy
(56-150)
|
Everyone
may begin to experience more serious health effects.
|
The
following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with
heart or lung disease, children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or
heavy exertion.
|
Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
|
Triggers a health alert, everyone may
experience more serious health effects
|
Everyone should avoid any outdoor
exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children
should remain indoors.
|
Hazardous (>250)
|
The entire population is even more
likely to be affected by serious health effects.
|
The following groups should remain indoors
and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and
older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
|
Learn more
at:
b) Soberanes
Fire Information: Inciweb http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4888/
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