Soberanes Fire Smoke Impact Forecast #60
Issued: Monday September 26, 2016 0800
Posted by: Jen Croft- ARA & Sean Luchs ARA (t)
Issued: Monday September 26, 2016 0800
Posted by: Jen Croft- ARA & Sean Luchs ARA (t)
Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the
Soberanes Fire wildfire and other fires.
Contributions from ozone and other pollutants and other sources are
generally not reflected.
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Fire: Current fire acres are 126,913 an increase in 223 acres. Current containment is 78%. Stronger
winds on Sunday led to increased fire activity in the fire’s interior and
more smoke production. The additional acreage of the fire came from unburned
interior areas between Miller Creek and Church Creek. Crews will continue to
directly attack the fire today with no firing operations planned.
Air Quality Today: With
winds generally from the east late Sunday and into Monday, smoke impacts are
more likely to be seen in the coastal communities. Tassajara, Arroyo Seco, Cachagua should
also see higher concentrations, particularly in the late night and morning
hours. Very visible nighttime pooling in the Carmel Valley and some nighttime
pooling should also be seen in the Salinas Valley as smoke from Sunday settles,
particularly in Gonzales and Soledad. Winds today should provide relief for
the Salinas Valley late today.
Air Quality Tomorrow: Winds near the most active part of the
fire should become lighter and more northerly, resulting in more significant nighttime
pooling of smoke in the Carmel Valley. Some visual impacts may be seen near
the coast before lingering smoke kept in the area by terrain disperses.
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Particulate
Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Soberanes Fire (midnight to midnight)
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Site
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Yesterday Observed
24-Hr AQI
September 25, 2016
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Today’s Forecast
24-Hr AQI
September 26, 2016
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Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
September 27, 2016
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Best Time of Day
September 26
24–Hr AQI
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Carmel River School
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Good
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Good
all day
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Carmel Valley
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Good
all day
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Toro Park
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Good
all day
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Cachagua
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Mid-day/early
afternoon
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Big Sur
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Good
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Moderate
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Good
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Mid-day
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Tassajara
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Unhealthy
for Sensitive Groups
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Mid-day
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Arroyo Seco
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No
Monitor
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Moderate
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Unhealthy
for Sensitive Groups
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Mid-day
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Salinas
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Good all day
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Gonzales
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Good
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Moderate
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Good
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Afternoon
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Soledad
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Moderate
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Moderate
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Good
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Afternoon
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Greenfield
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Mid-day/early afternoon
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King City
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Good all day
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Lockwood
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Good
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Good
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Good
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Good all day
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Disclaimer: Conditions
may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather
and fire activity. Sensitive groups
including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older
adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to
smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see
your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best
tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when
driving in or around smoky areas.
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For more information, please
call the Soberanes Fire Information Line at (831) 204-0446
Forecasted Air Quality Map
Use the Air Quality Index to
plan your activities
The Air Quality Index (AQI) is a measure
used for reporting daily air quality. It tells you how clean or polluted your
air is for the day, and what associated health effects might be a concern.
Smoke column
trends through the afternoon of September 25 as seen by satellite
Photograph
of smoke column activity from the afternoon of September 25
NOAA Hysplit
projected trajectories from releases at heights of 100 meters , 500 meters, and
1000 m.
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