Saturday, August 6, 2016

Saturday, August 6, 2016 #Soberanes Fire Smoke Impact Forecast #9

Smoke Impact Forecast #9                                                  Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Central Coast                                                               CAL Fire IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for August 6, 2016                                                                        Prepared by:  Gary M. Curcio/Steve Fraidenburg
Time: 8:30 AM                                                                                                                                     ARA/ARA (t)

Smoke Synopsis:

Yesterday: The Air Quality (AQ) continued to be impaired due to late burnout operations and fire growth. Fire growth was estimated at 1,956 acres. Big Sur was unhealthy, primarily in the morning. Carmel Valley continued to have impacts that made AQ unhealthy for sensitive groups and most of the Salinas Valley communities experience degraded AQ through the day.
Today: Smoke impact is anticipated to be Good for Carmel and northern communities. Early morning smoke is being experienced by some, but should improve. Burnout operations will continue. There is one on the eastside of the fire (Los Padres Dam area) and one on the southwest side (Big Sur area).  Increased smoke production has been factored into the AQ Table. Big Sur is expected to be unhealthy again with heaviest impact in the morning.  Carmel Valley, Greenfield and King City are expected to be unhealthy for sensitive groups. Gonzales and Soledad will continue to have diminished AQ with some clearing possible in the afternoon and evening respectfully.  Lockwood area will be moderately impacted throughout the day and evening. Smoke will continue impacting San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills.  Weather conditions will continue to change and favorable improvement to AQ is expected for the northern communities.  Lockwood and areas of northern San Luis Obispo County are now beginning to be affected by smoke.
Tomorrow: The marine layer is expected to clear which will allow warming and drying Sunday afternoon. This may influence an increase in smoke production from the fire and if burning operations proceed.

Air Quality Outlook:

Location
Yesterday
August 5th  
Observed
Today
August 6th   
Forecasted
Tomorrow
August 7th    
Forecasted
Comments: Today- Times of impaired air quality are projected below. During these periods Air Quality can be variable.
Santa Cruz
Good
 Good
Good

Gilroy
Good
 Good
Good

Hollister
Good
 Good
Good

Salinas
Good
Good
Good

Toro Park
Good
Good
Good

Monterey ARB
Good
Good
Good

Carmel River Sch
Good
Good
Good

Carmel Valley
Unhealthy SG
Unhealthy SG
Moderate
Morning smoke, clearing in the afternoon
Gonzales
Good
Moderate
Good
Morning smoke, clearing in the afternoon
Soledad
Moderate
Moderate
Good
Smoke all day, clearing in the evening
Greenfield
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Moderate
Smoke throughout the day and evening
King City
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Moderate
Smoke throughout the day and evening
SJ Baut
Good
Good
Good

Fort Ord
Good
Good
Good

Big Sur
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy SG
Heavy smoke in the morning, improving in afternoon
Pacific Grove
Good
Good
Good

Lockwood
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Smoke throughout the day and night
Disclaimer:  Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children, pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.
  
AQI Category
(PM2.5 Āµg/m3)
Potential Health Impacts
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good (0-12)
Little or no health risk
None
Moderate (13-35)
Air quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a small number of sensitive people.
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
Members of sensitive groups may experience health effects.  The general public is not likely to be affected.
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy (56-150)

Everyone may begin to experience more serious health effects.
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
Triggers a health alert, everyone may experience more serious health effects
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous (>250)
The entire population is even more likely to be affected by serious health effects.
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Learn more at:
         a) California Air District: Monterey Bay Unified  http://mbard.org/air-quality/
         b) Soberanes Fire Information: Inciweb  http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4888/
         c) California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/


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