Smoke Impact Forecast #3 Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Center Coast CAL
Fire IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for July 31st, 2016 Prepared by: Gary M. Curcio
Time: 08:00 AM Air Resource Advisor
Smoke Synopsis:
Yesterday: The fire size increased by 4,435 acres. At the day’s end all
stations recorded a
Good-AQI level. The lone exception was Hollister
(Moderate-AQI). Many stations did experience degraded air quality. This
occurred for a time between 7 AM - 5 PM. Gilory recorded the poorest AQ at
7AM.
Today: Wildland smoke production will have more
impact over the next 2 days. Because a sizeable burnout is planned and
combined with other burning activities, 8,000
acres will be used to assess emissions. For the nearby coast and valleys, the marine
layer still persists. Heaviest smoke will be in the Coastal Range with
additional smoke making its way into Carmel & Salinas Valleys. Communities
will experience higher levels of smoke. This is expected late in the
afternoon & into the night as burnout operation gets underway. Additional
upper level drift smoke can be expected to cause a greater impact to San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills.
The influence of the South/Southwest airflow remains and is expected to affect
northern communities (Carmel River, Carmel Valley, Salinas, Hollister &
Gilroy).
Tomorrow: Expect elevated smoke levels.
Plans are for continued burnout operations on Monday.
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Air Quality Outlook: is expected
to degrade through the day & night as the burnout operation is initiated in
combination with other suppression activities.
Location
|
Yesterday
July 30th
Observed
|
Today
July 31st
Forecasted
|
Tomorrow
August 1st
Forecasted
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Comments: Deteriorating AQ is
expected late morning, some improvement mid-afternoon and returning elevated
smoke in the evening.
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Santa Cruz
|
Good
|
Good
|
Good
|
|
Gilory
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
|
Hollister
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
|
Salinas
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
|
Toro Park
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Unhealthy
|
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Monterey ARB
|
Good
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Unhealthy
|
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Carmel
River Sch
|
Good
|
Unhealthy
|
Unheathy
|
Smoke
levels were “Unhealthy” at 7 AM (7/31/16)
|
Carmel
Valley
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
|
Gonzales
|
Good
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Unhealthy
|
|
Soledad
|
Good
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Moderate
|
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Greenfield
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
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King City
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
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Disclaimer: Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive
individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children,
pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to
smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or
health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air
Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.
|
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AQI
Category
(PM2.5 µg/m3) |
Potential
Health Impacts
|
Actions to
Protect Yourself
|
Good
(0-12)
|
Little or no health risk
|
None
|
Moderate
(13-35)
|
Air
quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a
small number of sensitive people.
|
Unusually
sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor
exertion.
|
Unhealthy
for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
|
Members
of sensitive groups may experience health effects. The general public is not likely to be
affected.
|
People
with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged
or heavy outdoor exertion. Everyone
else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
|
Unhealthy
(56-150)
|
Everyone
may begin to experience more serious health effects.
|
The
following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with
heart or lung disease, children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or
heavy exertion.
|
Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
|
Triggers a health alert, everyone may
experience more serious health effects
|
Everyone should avoid any outdoor
exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children
should remain indoors.
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Hazardous (>250)
|
The entire population is even more
likely to be affected by serious health effects.
|
The following groups should remain
indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease;
children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy
exertion
|
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