Saturday, September 12, 2015

Saturday, September 12, 2015 Rough Wildfire Smoke Report and Forecast

Air Quality Report                                                                                               Issue Date: 09/12/2015

Rough Fire                                                                                                      Prepared by:  Tod Johnson
Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Rough Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.
Fire:  The fire perimeter grew yesterday due to persistent warm temperatures and lower relative humidity. Smoke produced yesterday was from the continued burning of interior islands, uphill fire spread and burnout operations along containment lines Northwest of Grant Grove. The fire is  at 128, 670 acres, up 11,000 acres from yesterday - containment is 29%.
Air Quality Today: Heavy concentrations of smoke are expected near the fire and to the west foothills today.  Smoke will be slow to lift and transport will be primarily terrain and diurnally driven. Limited ventilation is forecast for today with continued increased impacts expected in the San Joaquin Valley west and northwest of fire.  Unhealthy to Hazardous conditions are expected in the foothill communities west and northwest of the fire. Conditions improve in the Owens Valley.      
Air Quality Tomorrow:  A more south to southwest wind will begin to alleviate smoke impacts in the San Joaquin Valley. More smoke will impact the northern portion of the Owens valley.

Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Rough fire
Site
Yesterday Observed
Midnight-Midnight
24-Hr AQI
September 11, 2015
Today Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
September 12, 2015
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
September 13, 2015
Best Time of Day
September 12
AQI and Period
Trimmer
Unhealthy
USG
USG
Best early evening
Prather
USG
USG
Moderate
Best early evening
Shaver Lake

Moderate
Moderate
Best early evening
Oakhurst
Moderate
USG
Moderate
Best early to late afternoon
Wishon Reservoir
Moderate
Moderate
USG
Best early morning
Hume Lake
Very Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Hazardous
No significant improvement
Cedar Grove
No data
Unhealthy
Hazardous
Best conditions morning
Grant Grove
No data
Hazardous
Hazardous
No significant improvement
Dunlap/Squaw Val.
Very Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Early to mid-evening
Mammoth Lakes
Moderate
Good
Moderate
Early morning through early afternoon
Aspendell
Moderate
Good
USG
Early morning through early afternoon
Bishop
Good
Good
USG
Early Morning through late afternoon
Big Pine

Good
Moderate
No significant difference
Independence

Good
Good
No significant difference
Pinehurst
Very Unhealthy
Very Unhealthy
Hazardous
Moderate late morning into afternoon
Montecito-Sequoia Lodge
Very Unhealthy
USG
Unhealthy
Early to late afternoon
Lodgepole
USG
Good
USG
late morning to mid afternoon
Three Rivers
Moderate
Moderate
Unhealthy
Early to late evening
Ash Mountain
Moderate
Moderate
Unhealthy
Early to late evening
Kernville
Good
Good
Good
Good
Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
                                                                                          None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
View of the fire:  Buck Rock Web Camera #3, http://rockyags.cr.usgs.gov/dashboards/WebCam.htm
San Joaquin Air Pollution Control District - http://valleyair.org/wildfires.htm
Interagency Real Time Smoke Monitoring - http://app.airsis.com/usfs/fleet.aspx

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