Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Wednesday August 10, 2016 - #Soberanes Fire Smoke Impact Forecast #13

Smoke Impact Forecast #13                                                                            Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Central Coast                                                                                                 CAL FIRE IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for August 10, 2016                                                                     Prepared by:  Gary M. Curcio/Steve Fraidenburg
Time: 8:00 AM                                                                                                                                      ARA/ARA(t)

Smoke Synopsis:

Yesterday: The Air Quality (AQ) continued to be impaired due to fire growth.  At days end Big Sur was the most severely impacted area. Carmel Valley continued to have impacts to AQ.  Salinas Valley communities had improved AQ.  Overnight smoke moved into some northern communities due to shift in transport winds.
Today: Due to a directional change in transport winds smoke is expected to move north today.  Early morning smoke is being experienced by some, particularly Monterey, Carmel, Carmel Valley and Salinas Valley. This has been factored into the AQ Table. Big Sur is expected to be Very Unhealthy all day.  Carmel Valley is expected to be unhealthy.  Monterey, Toro Park, and Fort Ord are expected to be unhealthy for sensitive groups. Smoke is expected to continue impacting the San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills. The northern San Luis Obispo County, especially coastal areas, are being affected by smoke. Changes to AQ today are results of continued burning, forecasted weather, and dispersion models.
Tomorrow: With warmer and drier weather conditions forecasted fire growth and interior burning, smoke production is expected to increase and AQ degrade. Smoke transport is expected to be similar to Wednesday as well as impacts to those affected communities.

Air Quality Outlook:

Location
Yesterday
August 9th
Observed
Today
August 10th   
Forecasted
Tomorrow
August 11th   
Forecasted
Comments: Today- Times of impaired air quality are projected below. During these periods Air Quality can be variable.

Santa Cruz
Good
 Good
Moderate


Gilroy
Good
 Moderate
Moderate
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Hollister
Good
 Moderate
Moderate
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Salinas
Good
Moderate
Moderate
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Toro Park
Good
Unhealthy SG
Unhealthy SG
Smoke through the day and night

Monterey ARB
Good
Unhealthy SG
Unhealthy SG
Smoke through the day and night

Carmel River Sch
Good
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Carmel Valley
Moderate
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

Gonzales
Good
Unhealthy SG
Unhealthy
Morning smoke, clearing in the afternoon

Soledad
Good
Moderate
Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

Greenfield
      Good
Moderate
Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

King City
Good
Moderate
Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

SJ Baut
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Fort Ord
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
 Unhealthy SG
Smoke through the day and night

Big Sur
Unhealthy
Very Unhealthy
Very Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

Pacific Grove
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Lockwood
Moderate
   Moderate
Moderate
Smoke through the day and night

Disclaimer:  Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children, pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.


*See Air Quality Index Table on next page













AQI Category
(PM2.5 Āµg/m3)
Potential Health Impacts
Actions to Protect Yourself

Good (0-12)
Little or no health risk
None

Moderate (13-35)
Air quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a small number of sensitive people.
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.

Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
Members of sensitive groups may experience health effects.  The general public is not likely to be affected.
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.

Unhealthy (56-150)

Everyone may begin to experience more serious health effects.
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.

Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
Triggers a health alert, everyone may experience more serious health effects
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.

Hazardous (>250)
The entire population is even more likely to be affected by serious health effects.
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

Learn more at:

a)        California Air District: Monterey Bay Unified  http://mbard.org/air-quality/

b)        Soberanes Fire Information: Inciweb  http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4888/

c)        California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/

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