Smoke Impact Forecast #5 Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Center Coast CAL
Fire IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for August 2nd, 2016 Prepared by: Gary M. Curcio
Time: 11:18 AM Air Resource Advisor
Smoke Synopsis:
Yesterday: Overall the AQ degraded as smoke emissions
increased due to Burnout operations. The acres contributing to the fire emissions
increased 2,707 acres. At the day’s
end Carmel River School was again the most severely impacted station as well
as Carmel Valley. The geographic position of the Valley in relation to the
fire and natural diurnal surface wind flow facilitate this impact. However,
changing upper wind flows will alleviate conditions somewhat. The Salinas
Valley communities continue to have poorest AQ from 11AM to 2PM and the
change in upper wind flows can increase this impact.
Today: Smoke impact is anticipated to
be significantly better for Carmel and northern communities. Upper air flows
will be west to east and in the evening NW to SE. The suppression effort is conducting
a burnout operation. This operation proceeded well and will continue thru
Thursday. Increased smoke production has been factored into the AQ Table. Carmel
River School area is expected to be Good as wind flow changes and improves
AQ. However, Carmel Valley is expected to be unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. The
heaviest smoke starting in the Coastal Range is expected to be swept E
through the day turning and eventually heading to the SE at night. Upper
level drift smoke will continue impacting San Joaquin Valley and Sierra
foothills. Lower layered smoke will be in the Carmel Valley and can be quite
heavy at night & Salinas Valleys.
Tomorrow: Expect improved AQ.
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Air Quality Outlook:
Location
|
Yesterday
August 1st
Observed
|
Today
August 2nd
Forecasted
|
Tomorrow
August 3rd
Forecasted
|
Comments: The time of day for “Most Unpleasant AQ
Times” is projected below. During this periods of trends for AQ can be
variable.
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Santa Cruz
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Good
|
Smoke
clearing in AM / Clear in afternoon
|
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Gilory
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Good
|
Smoke
clearing in AM / Clear in afternoon
|
|||
Hollister
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Good
|
Smoke
clearing in AM / Clear in afternoon
|
|||
Salinas
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke
clearing in AM / Clear in afternoon
|
|||
Toro Park
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke
clearing in AM / Clear in afternoon
|
|||
Monterey
ARB
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Good
|
Smoke clearing
in AM / Clear in afternoon
|
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Carmel
River Sch
|
Unhealthy
SG
|
Good
|
Good
|
Smoke
clearing in AM/ Clear in afternoon
|
|||
Carmel
Valley
|
Moderate
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Moderate
|
Smoke AM
-PM/Clear mid-afternoon/ret. early AM 8/3
|
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Gonzales
|
Moderate
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Good
|
Smoke
through the day with improving AQ thru the day
|
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Soledad
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Smoke
through the day with improving AQ thru the day
|
|||
Greenfield
|
Moderate
|
Unhealthy SG
|
Moderate
|
Smoke
through the day with improving AQ thru the day
|
|||
King City
|
Good
|
Moderate
|
Moderate
|
Smoke
through the day with improving AQ thru the day
|
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Disclaimer: Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive
individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children,
pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to
smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or
health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air
Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.
|
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AQI
Category
(PM2.5 µg/m3) |
Potential
Health Impacts
|
Actions to
Protect Yourself
|
|||||
Good
(0-12)
|
Little or no health risk
|
None
|
|||||
Moderate
(13-35)
|
Air
quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a
small number of sensitive people.
|
Unusually
sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor
exertion.
|
|||||
Unhealthy
for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
|
Members
of sensitive groups may experience health effects. The general public is not likely to be
affected.
|
People
with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged
or heavy outdoor exertion. Everyone
else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
|
|||||
Unhealthy
(56-150)
|
Everyone
may begin to experience more serious health effects.
|
The following
groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung
disease, children and older adults.
Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
|
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Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
|
Triggers a health alert, everyone may
experience more serious health effects
|
Everyone should avoid any outdoor
exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children
should remain indoors.
|
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Hazardous (>250)
|
The entire population is even more
likely to be affected by serious health effects.
|
The following groups should remain
indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease;
children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy
exertion
|
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