Thursday, August 25, 2016

Thursday August 25, 2016 - #Soberanesfire Smoke Report

Air Quality Report                                                                                            Issue Date: 08/25/2016
Soberanes Fire                                                           Prepared by:  Randy Striplin and Robert Elleman
Forecast-28

Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Soberanes Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.

Fire:  Generally moderate smoke production associated with an active, backing fire. Small perimeter burnouts are possible along the SW flank today. Current perimeter is 88,654 acres, with 1,339 new acres. Current containment is reported at 60%.
Air Quality Today: Light transport winds will shift to be from the southwest as an upper level trough approaches the area. This will return smoke conditions similar to what we had last weekend. Expect less smoke in Tassajara. Nighttime drainage flow will bring smoke to the coast, more so in Big Sur than the past couple days. The smoke along the coast will dissipate midday with the afternoon sea breeze. The marine layer will influence the Salinas and Carmel Valleys significantly over the next couple days, which will inhibit daytime mixing of smoke to the ground from above.
Air Quality Tomorrow:  Conditions tomorrow will be similar to today, except with a stronger marine layer than today. The stronger marine layer will inhibit daytime mixing of smoke to the ground from above in the Salinas and Carmel Valleys.

Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Soberanes fire
Site
Yesterday Observed
Midnight-Midnight
24-Hr AQI
August 24, 2016
Today’s Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
August 25, 2016
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
August 26, 2016
Best Time of Day
August 25
AQI and 24 hr. Period
Santa Cruz
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Gilroy
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Hollister
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Salinas
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Toro Park
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Monterey AFB
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Carmel River School
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Carmel Valley
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Gonzales
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Soledad
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Greenfield
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
King City
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
SJ Bautista
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Tassajara Hot Springs
Unhealthy
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
Relief at times
Big Sur
Moderate
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
Relief in the afternoon with the sea breeze
Pacific Grove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today

Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
                                                                                          None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Views of smoke from fire:  Jamesburg- http://cens.jamesreserve.edu/activejpg/cam2_hastings.jpg 
Monterey Air Resource Board - http://mbard.org/

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