Sunday, August 28, 2016

Sunday August 28, 2016 - #Soberanesfire Smoke Report

Air Quality Report                                                                           Issue Date: 08/28/2016
Soberanes Fire                                        Prepared by:  Randy Striplin and Robert Elleman
Forecast-31
Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Soberanes Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.

Fire:  Generally light smoke production associated with an active, backing fire. Burnouts are unlikely today. Current perimeter is 91,543 acres, with 443 new acres. Current containment is reported at 60%.
Air Quality Today: Light transport winds shift to being from the southwest. Expect very similar smoke conditions today as yesterday. Tassajara will continue to enjoy a relative reprieve from the smoke. Big Sur will have higher smoke conditions until lunchtime when the sea breeze kicks in. Smoke will drift over the Carmel and Salinas Valleys but will have a difficult time mixing down to the surface, except for a couple hours around noon.
Air Quality Tomorrow:  Conditions tomorrow will be similar to today.
Outlook for Tuesday: The weather forecast is for a weather disturbance to pass through early Tuesday morning between 3-6AM. Winds will shift to be from the northwest and will strengthen. Smoke production is likely to increase, and the smoke will send more smoke to the southeast than we have seen with this fire in some time.

Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Soberanes fire
Site
Yesterday Observed
Midnight-Midnight
24-Hr AQI
August 27, 2016
Today’s Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
August 28, 2016
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
August 29, 2016
Best Time of Day
August 28
AQI and 24 hr. Period
Santa Cruz
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Gilroy
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Hollister
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Salinas
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Toro Park
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Monterey AFB
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Carmel River School
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Carmel Valley
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Gonzales
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Soledad
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Greenfield
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
King City
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Cachagua
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Relief at night
Tassajara Hot Springs
Good
Moderate
Moderate
Relief in the evening
Big Sur
Moderate
Moderate
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
Relief in the afternoon with the sea breeze
Pacific Grove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today



Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Views of smoke from fire:  Jamesburg- http://cens.jamesreserve.edu/activejpg/cam2_hastings.jpg 
Monterey Air Resource Board - http://mbard.org/


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