Friday, August 12, 2016

Friday, August 12, 2016 - #Soberanes Fire Smoke Impact Forecast #15

Smoke Impact Forecast #15                                                                Soberanes Wildfire
Air Basin: North Central Coast                                                                               CAL FIRE IMT 4 w/ USFS
Issued for August 12, 2016                                                                     Prepared by:  Steve Fraidenburg, ARA
Time: 7:00 AM                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  

 Smoke Synopsis:

Yesterday: The Air Quality (AQ) continued to be impaired due to fire growth.  At days end Big Sur was the most severely impacted area. Pacific Grove continued to have unhealthy impacts to AQ.  All other communities monitored (with the exception of Santa Cruz and Gilroy) had moderate AQ.  
Today: With warmer and drier weather conditions forecasted fire growth and interior burning, smoke production is expected to increase.  This has been factored into the AQ Table. Big Sur is expected to be Very Unhealthy.  Monterey, Toro Park, Fort Ord, Carmel, Carmel Valley, and Pacific Grove are expected to be unhealthy for sensitive groups. Smoke is expected to continue impacting the San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills. The northern San Luis Obispo County, especially coastal areas, are being affected by smoke. Changes to AQ today are results of continued burning, forecasted weather, and dispersion models.
Tomorrow:  Models and weather forecast indicate relief to Monterey County communities (with the exception of Big Sur) from smoke impacts. Smoke transport is expected to be southerly which will increase impacts to northern San Luis Obispo County.

Air Quality Outlook:

Location
Yesterday
August 11th
Observed
Today
August 12th   
Forecasted
Tomorrow
August 13th   
Forecasted
Comments: Today- Times of impaired air quality are projected below. During these periods Air Quality can be variable.

Santa Cruz
Good
 Good
Good


Gilroy
Good
 Good
Good


Hollister
Moderate
 Moderate
Good
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Salinas
Moderate
   Moderate
Good
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Toro Park
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
        Good
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Monterey ARB
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Good
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Carmel River Sch
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Good
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Carmel Valley
Moderate
Unhealthy SG
Good
Smoke through the day, some afternoon improvement

Gonzales
Moderate
Moderate
Good
Smoke through the day and night

Soledad
Moderate
Moderate
Good
Smoke through the day and night

Greenfield
     Moderate
Moderate
Good
Smoke through the day and night

King City
Moderate
Good
 Good


SJ Baut
Moderate
Moderate
Good
Smoke through the day with clearing in the evening

Fort Ord
    No Data
Unhealthy SG
 Unhealthy SG
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Big Sur
Very Unhealthy
Very Unhealthy
Unhealthy
Smoke through the day and night

Pacific Grove
Unhealthy
Unhealthy SG
       Good
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Lockwood
Moderate
   Moderate
        Good
Smoke in morning, improving in the afternoon

Disclaimer:  Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children, pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.


*See Air Quality Index Table on next page













AQI Category
(PM2.5 µg/m3)
Potential Health Impacts
Actions to Protect Yourself

Good (0-12)
Little or no health risk
None

Moderate (13-35)
Air quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a small number of sensitive people.
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.

Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
Members of sensitive groups may experience health effects.  The general public is not likely to be affected.
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.

Unhealthy (56-150)

Everyone may begin to experience more serious health effects.
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.

Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
Triggers a health alert, everyone may experience more serious health effects
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.

Hazardous (>250)
The entire population is even more likely to be affected by serious health effects.
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

Learn more at:

a)        California Air District: Monterey Bay Unified  http://mbard.org/air-quality/

b)        Soberanes Fire Information: Inciweb  http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4888/

       c)      California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/

1 comment:

  1. Thank you for including Pacific Grove. None of the other websites pertaining to air quality do during this Soberanes fire. I knew 8/11 was really smokey and felt miserable at times but had no idea air was in the "unhealthy" category because I relied on the other sites that do not seem to feel the need to include this area in reporting air quality. I would not have ventured out as much if I had known. I now found this site and appreciate the information.

    ReplyDelete