Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Tuesday September 6, 2016 - #Soberanesfire Smoke Report

Air Quality Report                                                                                              Issue Date: 09/06/2016
Soberanes Fire                                                                Prepared by:  Randy Striplin and Gary Curcio
Forecast-40


Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Soberanes Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.
Fire:  Moderate smoke production today on the southeastern head of the fire. Burnout operations may occur on the southern containment line out to Anderson Peak in order to increase containment line depth. Current perimeter is 100,979 acres, with 551 new acres. Current containment remains at 60%.
Air Quality Today: Today, a more stable air mass and lighter winds may help smoke linger over the fire area. Winds will be light and offshore from the northeast. Smoke lifted into the transport winds will be transported southwest over the ocean. Smoke drainage down the Big Sur River Valley into Big Sur tonight will be aided by light winds shifting to come from the east overnight, but should lift by mid-morning. The northeast winds will take smoke away from Tassajara and Cachagua, but Tassajara is likely to be impacted by smoke due to their proximity to the fire.
Air Quality Tomorrow:  Tomorrow light winds from the south will likely push smoke into areas to the north such as Tassajara, Cachagua, and Big Sur.  The higher stability of the air mass may keep more smoke lingering later into the day.

Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Soberanes fire
Site
Yesterday Observed
Midnight-Midnight
24-Hr AQI
September 5, 2016
Today’s Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
September 6, 2016
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
September 7, 2016
Best Time of Day
September 6
AQI and 24 hr. Period
Santa Cruz
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Gilroy
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Hollister
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Salinas
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Toro Park
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Monterey AFB
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Carmel River School
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Carmel Valley
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Gonzales
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Soledad
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Greenfield
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
King City
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Cachagua
Good
Good
Moderate
Good conditions today
Tassajara Hot Springs
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Better in the evening
Big Sur
USG
USG
USG
Better by late morning
Pacific Grove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today


Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.

AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Views of smoke from fire:  Jamesburg- http://cens.jamesreserve.edu/activejpg/cam2_hastings.jpg 
Monterey Air Resource Board - http://mbard.org/



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