Thursday, September 8, 2016

Thursday, September 8, 2016 #Soberanes Fire AQR Forecast #42


Air Quality Report                                                             Issue Date: 09/08/2016
Soberanes Fire                                                                   Time: 0700
Forecast- 42                                                                       Prepared by:  Gary Curcio

Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Soberanes Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.
Fire:  Yesterday the Gap Fire again contributed smoke to the area and assisted in degrading air quality. Soberanes moderate smoke production continues on the southeastern head of the fire and has moved to Deer Pasture. Burnout operations were successful to Anderson Peak. This will be evaluated for continued operation as Ridgetop winds are shifting. Current fire size is 102,449 acres with 1009 acres of new growth. Current containment remains at 60%.  
Air Quality Today: The air mass is still stable. Winds continue to be light and terrain driven at the surface and transport winds will also be initially South and light. This supports smoke collecting and pooling in drainages with a gentle spread out over the area. Big Sur, Tassajara and Cachagua communities will be the most affected due to their proximity to the fire.
Air Quality Tomorrow:  With continued light and terrain driven surface winds, stable air smoke will linger and collect in the area.

Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Soberanes Fire (midnight to midnight)
Site
Yesterday Observed
4-Hr AQI
September 7, 2016
Today’s Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
September 8, 2016
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
September 9, 2016
Best Time of Day
September 8
24–Hr AQI
Santa Cruz
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Gilroy
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Hollister
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Salinas
Good
Moderate
Good

Early evening
Toro Park
Good
Moderate
Good
Early Evening
Carmel River School
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Carmel Valley
Moderate
Moderate
 Good
Evening
Gonzales
Good
Moderate
 Good
Evening
Soledad
Moderate
 Moderate
 Good
Evening
Greenfield
 Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Evening
King City
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Better in the afternoon
Cachagua
Moderate
USG
Moderate
Better in the afternoon
Tassajara Hot Springs
USG
USG
USG
Better in the afternoon
Big Sur
USG
USG

USG
Better in the afternoon
Pacific Grove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Seaside
Moderate
Moderate
Good
Afternoon
Lockwood
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Morning hours

Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.



AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Views of smoke from fire:  Jamesburg- http://cens.jamesreserve.edu/activejpg/cam2_hastings.jpg 
Monterey Air Resource Board - http://mbard.org/





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