Saturday, September 10, 2016

Saturday, September 10, 2016 Smoke Effects for Lakes Fire at Yosemite National Park: Forecast #2

Smoke Effects Forecast #2                                                                    Lakes Fire
                                  
Yosemite National Park
Prepared on: 9/10/16            Prepared by:  Jim McNitt, Air Resource Specialist
Overview: The Lakes Fire, is burning in the Chilnualna Lakes area, between Turner Meadow and Buena Vista Peak at about 8,000 feet in a designated wilderness area. It is a lightning-caused fire that is being monitored and managed for resource and wildlife beneift. Managing fires that are started by lightning reduces the risk of high intensity fires and benefits the ecosystem. On 9/7/16 the fire size was 280 acres.
Smoke Synopsis: Smoke from wildfires outside of the park elevated the levels of particulate matter (PM) to the Moderate level.  Smoke will settle down the Chilnualna drainage to Wawona at night and early morning. Several one hour PM2.5 readings at Wawona yesterday morning were greater than 35 µg/m3.
Air Quality Outlook: High pressure over the area continues to cause poor dispersion conditions today.A strong temperature inversion is trapping campfire smoke in Yosemite Valley overnight and the temperature inversion will break down by noon. An upper-level low will provide for better dispersion conditions on Sunday and very good dispersion on Monday and Tuesday.
Location
Yesterday
9/9/16 Observed*
Today
9/10/16 Forecasted
Tomorrow
9/11/16  Forecasted
Details for avoiding smoke during the worst hours of the day
Yosemite Valley
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
People who are sensitive to smoke should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exercise, especially in the morning.
El Portal
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate

Wawona
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
People who are sensitive to smoke should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exercise, especially in the morning.
Disclaimer:  Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children, pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your health professional. *The Air Quality Index (AQI) values used to create the following table are 24-hr averages (midnight-midnight local time). Locations listed in the above table can experience periods of poorer air quality than the24-hr average.

24 hr AQI Category
(PM2.5 µg/m3)
Potential Health Impacts
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good (0-12)
Little or no health risk
None
Moderate (13-35)
Air quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a small number of sensitive people.
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)
Members of sensitive groups may experience health effects.  The general public is not likely to be affected.
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy (56-150)

Everyone may begin to experience more serious health effects.
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
(151-250)
Triggers a health alert, everyone may experience more serious health effects
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous (>250)
The entire population is even more likely to be affected by serious health effects.
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
Learn more at:
Air Monitor Data              http://www.wildlandfiresmoke.net/monitoring/                                            
California Smoke Blog                    http://www.californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/                                                              
Air Districts         http://www.arb.ca.gov/capcoa/roster.htm                                        
AirNow (AQI forecasts and nowcasts)                    https://www.airnow.gov/                                                          


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