Friday, August 19, 2016

Friday August 19, 2016 Smoke Impact Forecast #Soberanesfire

Air Quality Report                                                                                                         Issue Date: 08/19/2016
Soberanes FIre                                                                                                               Prepared by:  Jen Croft
Forecast-22

Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Soberanes Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.
Fire:  Moderate fire activity today associated with backing fire along the southern edge towards the river drainage, and perimeter burnout operations to maintain the containment of the western flank.  Current perimeter is 81,396 acres, with 1,396 new acres. Current containment is reported at 60%.
Air Quality Today: Better south winds than predicted provided some much needed relief to the Big Sur area yesterday, and will likely continue to provide some periods of improved conditions as an onshore flow with SW winds will arrive by mid-day.  Later in the afternoon, west winds will push the smoke back into the Carmel and Salinas Valleys.  Expect the evening to bring a light NW-W wind that will move some of the smoke out of these areas towards King City. 
Air Quality Tomorrow:  Conditions similar to today, with some additional west winds pushing smoke into the Carmel and Salinas Valleys.
Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Soberanes fire
Site
Yesterday Observed
Midnight-Midnight
24-Hr AQI
August 18, 2016
Today’s Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
August 19, 2016
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
August 20, 2016
Best Time of Day
August 19
AQI and 24 hr. Period
Santa Cruz
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Gilroy
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Hollister
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Salinas
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Toro Park
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Monterey AFB
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Carmel River School
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Carmel Valley
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Gonzales
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Soledad
 Good
 Good
 Good
Good conditions today
Greenfield
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Some relief in afternoon
King City
 Good
Moderate
Moderate
Some relief in afternoon
SJ Bautista
 Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Ford Ord
 Good
 Good
Good
Good conditions today
Big Sur
USG
USG
USG
Relief in the afternoon hours
Pacific Grove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions today
Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
                                                                                          None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

Views of smoke from fire:  Jamesburg- http://cens.jamesreserve.edu/activejpg/cam2_hastings.jpg 
Big Sur- http://www.nepenthebigsur.com/images/b.jpg
California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/
Monterey Air Resource Board - http://mbard.org/
AirNow - http://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.main

View towards Carmel Valley yesterday (08/18) around 1 PM

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