Saturday, July 30,2016 #Soberanes Fire Smoke Impact Forecast #2

Smoke Impact Forecast #2                                                        Soberanes Wildfire

Air Basin: North Center Coast                                                                                CAL Fire IMT 4 w/ USFS

Issued for July 30^th, 2016                                                                                        Prepared by:  Gary M. Curcio

Time: 08:00 AM                                                                                                                       Air Resource Advisor

Smoke Synopsis:

Wildland smoke production remains excellent but was less yesterday than projected. The fire size increased 2,186 acres. This is roughly half the growth experienced the previous day. The weather pattern and its influence are expected to be the same for today. Therefore, smoke emissions and impacts will be similar today as well. Most of the heavy smoke stays in the Coastal Range west of the Salinas Valley. The Valley and its communities will still experience periods of elevated smoke. However, the sea breeze combined with daytime up valley flow will move the smoke out. Light levels of drift smoke will continue to make its way into the San Joaquin Valley and Sierra foothills. The influence of a South/Southwest airflow remains and can still effect northern communities (Carmel Valley, Salinas, Hollister & Gilroy).

Air Quality Outlook: Each location can experience hours of poorer air quality. This occurred yesterday at many locations between 7:00 AM to 3:00 PM.

Location	Yesterday July 29th Observed	Today July 30th Forecasted	Tomorrow July 31st   Forecasted	Comments: Overall AQ will be “Good” with short periods of elevated levels.
Santa Cruz	Good	Good	Good
Gilory	Good	Good	Good
Hollister	Good	Good	Good	Expect “Moderate”elevated smoke 12PM–4PM
Salinas	Good	Good	Good
Toro Park	No Data	No Data	No Data
Monterey Board	Good	Good	Good
Carmel River Sch.	Good	Good	Good
Carmel Valley	Good	Good	Good	Expect ”Moderate” elevated smoke 9AM–1PM
Gonzales	Good	Good	Good	Expect ”Moderate”elevated smoke10AM–11PM
Soledad	Good	Good	Good	Expect ”Moderate” elevated smoke 8AM–3PM
Greenfield	Good	Good	Good	Expect ”Moderate” elevated smoke 10AM–3PM
King City	Good	Good	Good	Expect ”Moderate” elevated smoke 11AM–5PM
Disclaimer:  Air quality predictions reflect only fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Sensitive individuals including people with asthma or heart disease, infants, children, pregnant women and older adults should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you experience health effects from smoke, contact your doctor or health professional. Observed & Forecasted Air Quality is based on the Air Quality Index using the 24 Hour Average.

AQI Category (PM2.5 µg/m3)	Potential Health Impacts	Actions to Protect Yourself
Good (0-12)	Little or no health risk	None
Moderate (13-35)	Air quality is acceptable for most. There may be moderate health concern for a small number of sensitive people.	Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups – USG (36-55)	Members of sensitive groups may experience health effects.  The general public is not likely to be affected.	People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy (56-150)	Everyone may begin to experience more serious health effects.	The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy (151-250)	Triggers a health alert, everyone may experience more serious health effects	Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous (>250)	The entire population is even more likely to be affected by serious health effects.	The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

Learn more at:

        1. California Air District: Monterey Bay Unified  http://mbard.org/air-quality/

        2. Soberanes Fire Information: Inciweb  http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4888/

        3. California Smoke Blog - http://californiasmokeinfo.blogspot.com/