Monday, September 14, 2015

Monday, September 14, 2015 Rough Smoke Report and Forecast

Air Quality Report                                                                                               Issue Date: 09/14/2015

Rough Fire                                                                                                      Prepared by:  Tod Johnson
Forecast conditions represent impacts from smoke from the Rough Fire wildfire.  Contributions from ozone and other pollutants are not reflected.
Fire:  Smoke is being produced by interior burning combined with burnout operations along containment lines which are designed to stop the spread of the fire to the west. The fire is 139,188 acres, containment is 40%.
Air Quality Today: The smoke that has been impacting the foothill communities west of the fire should see clearing skies as the winds move up from the southwest and west today. This will shift the impacts to those areas immediately adjacent to the wildfire, and to the Owens Valley to the east and northeast of the incident. Mostly moderate impacts are anticipated due to the reduction in active burn areas, with a few areas of higher readings in close proximity.  Overall, much improved conditions throughout the impact area.   
Air Quality Tomorrow:  Similar smoke conditions are forecast for the modeled area, with continued impacts to the Owens Valley.

Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Impacts from the Rough fire
Site
Yesterday Observed
Midnight-Midnight
24-Hr AQI
September 13, 2015
Today’s Forecast
24-Hr  AQI
September 14, 2015
Tomorrow
Outlook
24-Hr AQI
September 15, 2015
Best Time of Day
September 14
AQI and Period
Trimmer
Moderate
Moderate
USG
Best late morning and afternoon
Prather
Moderate
USG
Moderate
Best late morning and afternoon
Shaver Lake

Good
Moderate
Best  in the evening
Oakhurst
USG
Moderate
Moderate
Best  in the evening
Wishon Reservoir
Very Unhealthy
USG
Moderate
Best in the evening
Hume Lake
Very Unhealthy
USG
USG
No significant improvement
Cedar Grove
No data
USG
USG
No significant improvement
Grant Grove
No data
USG
USG
Late afternoon to early evening
Dunlap/Squaw Val.
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Good all day
Mammoth Lakes
Unhealthy
Good
Good
Best before late afternoon
Aspendell
Unhealthy
Moderate
Moderate
Best before noon
Bishop
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Best before noon
Big Pine

Moderate
Moderate
Best before noon
Independence

Good
Moderate
Best before noon
Pinehurst
Moderate
Good
Good
Good all day
Montecito-Sequoia Lodge
Very Unhealthy
Moderate
Good
Good all day
Lodgepole
USG
Moderate
Good
Good all day
Three Rivers
Moderate
Good
Good
Good all day
Ash Mountain
Moderate
Good
Good
Good all day
Kernville
Moderate
Good
Good
Good all day
Disclaimer:  Conditions may change quickly, these projections are based on anticipated weather and fire activity.  Sensitive groups including individuals with Asthma, lung or heart disease, children, older adults, and pregnant women should take precautions to avoid exposure to smoke. If you feel as though you are having health effects from smoke see your doctor or health professional as needed. In some cases your eyes are your best tools, if it is smoky outside you are being impacted. Use caution when driving in or around smoky areas.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
                                                                                          None
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups - USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion
View of the fire:  Buck Rock Web Camera #3, http://rockyags.cr.usgs.gov/dashboards/WebCam.htm
San Joaquin Air Pollution Control District - http://valleyair.org/wildfires.htm
Interagency Real Time Smoke Monitoring - http://app.airsis.com/usfs/fleet.aspx

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